Race Preview - 2019 Juddmonte International Stakes

Tuesday, 20 August 2019: The Racing and Sports Priceline for the 2019 Juddmonte International Stakes on day one of York's Ebor Festival.


CRYSTAL OCEAN winning the Prince of Wales's Stakes at Ascot in England.
CRYSTAL OCEAN winning the Prince of Wales's Stakes at Ascot in England.
Crystal Ocean is the star turn on the opening day of York's Ebor Festival and he is clearly the horse to beat according to the Racing and Sports' pricing model from which we will publish prices for the key chances in Group races across all four days of one of the world's great racing festivals.  

Assessed Prices: 

Acomb Stakes: Persuasion $4.50; Kingbrook $4.50; Valdermoro $5.50; Harpocrates $6.00. 

Great Voltiguer Stakes: Logician $2.75; Constantinople $2.75; Jalmoud $9.00; Nayef Road $9.00. 

Juddmonte International: Crystal Ocean $2.50; King Of Comedy $5.50; Japan $5.50. Elarqam $13.00; Circus Maximus $13.00. 

As we have mentioned in past articles this season, The Model comes up with a price/probability by simulating races using an array of ratings and making a few tweaks for simple things like jockeys. The biggest drama in all of this is that the array of ratings tells us plenty about what has happened in the past but typically not enough about what will in the future. 

This makes races like the Acomb very tricky. Eight of the ten come off last start wins and have had just one or two starts.  





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