|Magazine - Issue 464|
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Chris Scholtz - Early ThoughtsR&S Contributing Editor Chris Scholtz takes a look at tomorrow’s Sydney racing.
SELECTIONSRosehill Race 3 - 3 Astronomos
Hit his straps in great style at only his second start for his new trainer John Thompson when he sliced through the heavy ground for an easy win over 2000m at Randwick on March 4.
Adding to his outstanding stats over this trip (three wins from four starts) and on wet tracks (five wins from six starts), he gets his favoured conditions again and there is no reason why he won’t add another win to his impressive record.
Has been flying under the radar somewhat but showed he is not out of place in the big league with his fighting second in the G2 Ajax Stakes over this course and distance on March 11 when having just his second start after a spell.
He’s already won six of his 11 starts with a feature being his tenacious will to win when challenged as he showed last start when he came again after enduring a hard run three wide.
Very accomplished on soft and heavy tracks and will be well suited by the testing conditions.
Rosehill Race 6 - 7 Tavago
Rocketed back to the form that saw him beat Jameka by a big margin in last year’s ATC Australian Derby when he trounced his rivals in the G3 Sky High Stakes over 2000m at this course two weeks ago.
Considering he was having only his second start since the spring it is doubtful any other runner in this classy field holds as much upside as this robust 4YO.
He is an out and out stayer who will relish the step up to 2400m with his imposing record on soft track another serious factor in his favour.
BLACKBOOK UPDATE from 18 MarchOur Century - Spelling but just wait for the spring. Good horse.
Inference - Lost no standing for the Derby.
Tulip - She could be a star in the spring.
Heavenly Anna - Fine first-up effort in tough going.
Kenjorwood - Big finish from last. All the better for it.
Recent Blackbook winners - Oak Door; Most Exalted; Imposing Lass; Invienna; Deep Image; Wheal Leisure; Hipparchus; Ocean Embers; Nemrud; Invader; Dylan’s Luck; Lanciato; War Legend; Inference. Single Bullet; Circular; Humidor; Hardham; Palentino.
ELIGIBLE BLACKBOOK RUNNERS for 25 MarchMoonee Valley (Fri) - Oregon’s Day (R5)
Rosehill (Sat) - Reflectivity (R1), Zasourceress (R3), Kenjorwood (R4), New Tipperary (R4), Echo Effect (R4), Prized Icon (R5), Exospheric (R6) Jameka (R6), Harlow Gold (R7), Happy Hannah (R8) and Daysee Doom (R8)
Chris’ final observations and full audio preview of all Sydney races will be available after 9.30am Saturday on the R&S website and tweeted by @ScholtzRacing.
ATC Transcription Service
Get all the information about ATC Group races first thing after the raceRacing And Sports are proud to partner with the ATC and provide the best and quickest detailed results for every Group race conducted during the Spring Carnival.
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Timeform Review: George Ryder Stakes with Gary Crispe
WINX - don't need to say much moreThe outstanding sequence of wins for champion mare Winx, Timeform’s equal top rated thoroughbred in the world for 2016 continued at Rosehill yesterday.
Winx and French star Almanzor finished the 2016 year rated equal by Timeform on 133, but the super mare eclipsed that figure in the George Ryder Stakes over 1500m.
Winx who earned her previous peak Timeform rating of 133 with the annihilation of the 2016 Cox Plate field over 2040m at Moonee Valley turned her attention to some of Australia’s best sprinter milers in the George Ryder with equal effectiveness.
Winx was going for her second George Ryder Stakes win having easily accounted for her rivals in the 2016 renewal. However yesterday’s field was a far superior line up over a distance previously regarded as short of her best.
Included against her in the small field was internationally recognised and multiple group one winning sprinter Chautauqua, multiple group one winning miler Le Romain and group one Epsom Handicap winner Hauraki as well as impressive last start winner McCreery - all proven in heavy track conditions - a fact that cannot argued to discount the merit of Winx’ performance.
Winx was also coming back 100m in distance from her last win in the G1 Chipping Norton Stakes which is never ideal for horses progressing to longer distance goals in a campaign.
Despite missing the start and settling at the rear early, Winx under Hugh Bowman travelled smoothly through the conditions and once into the home stretch accelerated clear of her rivals to clinically execute her 16th consecutive victory.
In her wake some seven and a quarter lengths astern was last start group one winner Le Romain with Chautauqua a further length and a quarter back.
Feature Race Runners
Keep up to speed on which horses are running in coming days that are entered in Feature RacesRacing And Sports keeps punters updated on the latest racing information every day.
One of the big attractions during carnival time, when the feature races are conducted mainly in Melbourne and Sydney, is placing a Pre-Post bet. This is a great guide.
We are seeing the start of many Autumn campaigns now with good racing at Randwick and Caulfield.
Follow all the entries here.
Timeform Review: Golden Slipper day with Dean Croker
She Will Reign indeedShe Will Reign has claimed victory in the 2017 Group 1 Golden Slipper (1200m) at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday, following an inspired ride by Ben Melham on a heavy track.
The Gary Portelli-trained runner settled just off midfield before improving along the rail coming to the turn, hitting the lead inside 300m, proving too strong for her rivals with Frolic second and Tulip third on protest.
Long time the Golden Slipper favourite, She Will Reign suffered her first defeat when runner up in the Reisling Stakes the start prior but clearly turned the tables on Frolic winning by 2.3L.
She Will Reign returned a new career peak Timeform figure of 118 in the Golden Slipper, two pounds above her Silver Slipper win over Veranillo.
She Will Reign ran one pound below the last filly to win the race, which was Mossfun in 2014 with 2016 winner Capitalist running a figure of 122.
The daughter of Manhattan Rain became the sixth runner to complete the Silver Slipper-Golden Slipper double with Eskimo Prince (1964), Baguette (1970), Luskin Star (1977), Pierro (2012) and Mossfun (2014) also achieving the feat.
Of the beaten runners, Frolic ran to 112, one pound below her win in the Reisling whilst Tulip who was promoted to third above Menari following a protest ran to 102, well below her Magic Night Stakes winning rating of 115.
The well fancied Catchy clearly didn’t handle the heavy 10 conditions not beating a runner home.
Historical Analysis of The BMW
THE BMW - G1 2400mIn one of Australia’s few WFA contests over 2400m, some absolute superstars have taken the prize over the years.
There was a run of five years when Octagonal twice, Might and Power and Tie the Knot twice scored sensational wins.
Because of its timing, most of the elite horses run as well as the occasional 3yo who are that much more mature and confident than they are in the Spring leading into a race like the Cox Plate.
Then again roughies have also had success. Have a look at what’s driving these champs to success in the BMW.
PROFILING THE RACEo Despite a relatively short run to the post, barriers haven’t hindered winning chances over the 2400m.
o Five mares have saluted in last 23 years.
o This used to be a fantastic race for 3yos. There was a period from ’86 to ’96 when 7 youngsters won. Since Octagonal’s triumph, only Curata Storm and Grand Zulu got up before nearly a ten year break then Fiveandahalfstar.
o You usually don’t have to look for any roughies in WFA races as the favourites traditionally go well - BUT NOT HERE.
o Like many 2400m races, saving ground is smart.
o Last 10 Winners Most Prevalent Age of winner - 4/5yos (4 times)
o Last 10 Winners Average Price of winner - $11
o Breakdown of winners - 7 geldings, 1 entire & 2 mares
o Races that the winner ran in prior - Ranvet Stks (6), Australian Cup (3), Sky High Stks (1)
RECENT WINNERS2016 - PREFERMENT 4h (Zabeel x Better Alternative) ($4.50 eq fav)
Jockey: Hugh Bowman, Trainer: Chris Waller
Barrier: 4, Weight: 58.5kg, Gross Time: 2:28.68
Margin: 0.2L, Track: Good (3), Starters: 10
2nd: Who Shot Thebarman (59.0kg), 3rd: Grand Marshal (59.0kg)
Review: What an outstanding ride. Hugh Bowman was in good form before this but this was his best ever. It was a race of dubious speed going in, but on a day when on pace near the fence was the place to be, a few wanted to be there early.
Mongolian Khan was three wide the trip as Our Ivanhowe led. When the pace slowed, Bowman didn’t want to get outsprinted so made a move at the 1000m to be three wide and then took off at the 600m.
He went that fast he got the front and switched back to the inside. Putting a length on them, he started to get tired as his stable mates came at him but he held them off. The ride won the race.
2015 - HARTNELL 4g (Authorized x Debonnaire) ($3)
Jockey: James McDonald, Trainer: John O’Shea
Barrier: 3, Weight: 57.5kg, Gross Time: 2:29.50
Margin: 1.3L, Track: Good (3), Starters: 11
2nd: To The World (57.5kg), 3rd: Beaten Up (59.0kg)
Review: This was an outstanding race. It contained international runners, inform imports and even two of the Melbourne Cup placegetters. Before the race there was controversy as Hartnell and Opinion played up in the stalls and were vetted but both ran.
With the pace on it became a staying test. At the 700m Opinion was pulled out of the race with a major problem and it checked the Godolphin runner. Coming to the turn the quinella pulled out five wide and made their runs together.
To The World was level at the 300m but was clearly outstayed. Godolphin purchased horses had been charging through the line and this bloke was no exception.
2014 - SILENT ACHIEVER 5m (O’Reilly x Winning Spree) ($3.75)
Jockey: Nash Rawiller, Trainer: Roger James
Barrier: 4, Weight: 57.0kg, Gross Time: 2:34.29
Margin: 1.8L, Track: Heavy (8), Starters: 9
2nd: (It’s A) Dundeel (58.5kg), 3rd: Fiorente (59.0kg)
Review: Here was a simple case of a horse in winning form going better than others who were much touted. She was a Derby winner herself but had always been considered a horse who hadn’t hit the heights in Australia.
But now a more mature mare she won the Ranvet with great strength in running down Carlton House. On a bog track she was able to camp on the leaders and looked to be coasting into the turn.
While acceleration was not easy on the surface, she was able to steal a march on the well-credentialed placegetters and proved too strong. Maybe, just maybe, she goes better clockwise as well.
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