Magazine - Issue 485

Front Page Special For Saturday 19 August 2017


Randwick Race 7 - 2 Dixie Blossoms - Even in a good line up of mares, we reckon Ronny Quinton’s girl is better than the rivals.

She ran so well all last campaign even with some strange tactics utilised but if she is ridden to hold a position from the draw, she can show her class.

Missing by a head in this race last year, we get Hugh Bowman this time and suspect the odds on offer will not be there on Saturday.

We know Dixie ain’t no pixie so take her
in your Topbetta Tournament plays.




5 State Plays

Mail Around Australia

Find below the best betting plays of the weekend from around the country. A more expansive explanation can be found in the Read More Links in each State’s assessments.


SYDNEY SPECIALS

A host of spring carnival types return from their winter spells at Randwick on Saturday with the key question being, how well have they come back? Read More

BET OF THE DAY: Race 8 - 7
Omei Sword @ $2.30

EACH WAY PLAY: Race 4 - 9
Ebenos @ $6.50


For all your Sydney form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


MELBOURNE MAIL

The stars are back but Caulfield presents a tricky punting challenge on Saturday with so many key runners resuming from spells. Read More

BET OF THE DAY: Race 7 - 4 Tosen Stardom @ $8.50
EACH WAY PLAY: Race 6 - 2 Veranillo @ $10.00

For all your Melbourne form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


BRISBANE BEST

Sheiswhatsheis will look to build on her last start win when she lines up in the Open Handicap over a mile at Doomben on Saturday. Read More

BET OF THE DAY: Race 4 - 3
Sheiswhatsheis @ $2.70

EACH WAY PLAY: Race 7 - 13
Gypsy Miss @ $6.00


For all your Brisbane form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


SAY FROM SA

It is Spring Stakes day at Morphettville and looks a good betting program. Read More

EACH WAY PLAY (1): Race 7 - 13 I Am Zelady @ $9.00
EACH WAY PLAY (2): Race 8 - 4 Enzo The Barber @ $5.00

For all your Adelaide form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


BEST FROM THE WEST

The Fred Kersley trained Debellatio appears well placed to make a winning return at Belmont on Saturday when due to contest the second event. Read More

BET OF THE DAY (1): Race 2 - 1 Debellatio @ $2.70
BET OF THE DAY (2): Race 6 - 7 Young Gina @ $4.00

For all your Perth form, stats, neurals and state of track Click Here


Punting Tournaments

Check out Racing and Sports Tournaments
via your TopBetta account.

Take on punters from around the country via various Tournaments during the week. Saturday obviously holds most interest with the quality horses running and more punters getting involved in competition.

For a small ‘buy in’ investment you can win big prizes
if your punting skills are top drawer.

Work out your banker bets which you think can generate the biggest return and charge to the top of the standings. Hopefully you are on the top of the dias come the last race and you can win top $$$ prizes.


Give it a go matching wits against some top punting minds.


Click here to read up on how to play


Singapore Racing Tips

Check out all the tips and form plus Previews and Reviews for Kranji this weekend

Find below the links for all the information on two Singapore meetings on Friday and Sunday.

Full Singapore Tips - Friday 18 August

Click here for ALL YOUR FRIDAY SINGAPORE FORM

Full Singapore Tips - Sunday 20 August

Click here for ALL YOUR SUNDAY SINGAPORE FORM

FULL MEDIA SELECTIONS AVAILABLE HERE

Singapore Media Tips Friday

Singapore Media Tips Sunday

SINGAPORE REVIEWS

Promising galloper Julius Caesar returned in a big way last weekend, spacing his rivals in the final event at Kranji on Friday night.

Only lightly raced Julius Caesar raced in good order last preparation having broken his maiden at his second start in Singapore, before not beaten far behind Whose Else's prior to break.

Formerly based in Australia with Team Snowden, Julius Caesar displayed good ability in his four starts before transferred to Singapore in September last year.

Brought along slowly by new trainer James Peters, Julius Caesar finished a narrow second in his Singapore debut, before winning easily at his next outing.

While failing to salute as favourite at his next start, his performance still held merit and he easily justified his favouritism ($2.00 SP) on Friday night.

Ridden by Vlad Duric, Julius Caesar began well to settle second with the Saimee trained Trigamy taking up the running.

Popped off the fence to make a line of three passing the 700m, Julius Caesar travelled boldly and quickly took over on straightening.

Displaying a good turn of foot, Julius Caesar quickly drew of his rivals, racing away to score by four-and-a-half lengths.

Click here for the full Review of last weekend’s races

Click here for the full Singapore News


Chris Scholtz - Early Thoughts

R&S Contributing Editor Chris Scholtz takes a look at tomorrow’s Sydney racing.

SELECTIONS

Randwick Race 7 - 2 Dixie Blossoms

There are few better sprinting mares in Sydney and even with 58.5kg she is going to take a power of beating first-up against her own sex after an excellent trial that has me confident this could be her best campaign.

She flies when fresh and the booking of Hugh Bowman is a positive sign from her trainer Ron Quinton that he has her primed for a big return.

She has impeccable key stats (first-up; distance; course) and maps to get a perfect sit on the leaders. Her class should do the rest.

Randwick Race 8 - 4 Spectroscope

Classy import returns for his second Australian campaign and sure we are yet to see the best of him.

Could not be better placed after two impressive trial performances where his sharp turn of foot has stamped him as a horse ready to produce a big first-up sprint.

He’s very good fresh, there is sufficient pace in this field to suit his pattern and the booking of Hugh Bowman a huge positive.

Randwick Race 9 - 10 Clipper

Progressive Canberra-trained mare continues to build an impressive record, having missed a place only once in eight starts, and this class looks well within her scope with her light weight after the claim for Andrew Adkins.

She’s risen from the Highway grades with strong placings at her last two starts in good Caulfield and Randwick company and the return to 1000m after a month freshen should work well for her given that she is unbeaten at the trip and will sit hard on the fast pace from her good draw.

BLACKBOOK UPDATE from 12 August (Horses to follow at their next three starts)

Tom Melbourne - Tragedy beaten. Looks more focused under new trainer.
Mandalong Kiss - Watch for her to bob up in midweek company.
Etymology - Sprinted nicely fresh for a horse who needs further.
Tally - Solid return Good spring prospects over more ground.
So Si Bon - Obvious eye-catcher first-up. Has class.
Serenely Discreet - Desperately unlucky at Morphettville. Ready to win.

ELIGIBLE BLACKBOOK RUNNERS for 19-21 August

Randwick (Sat) - Mogador (R4), More To Gain (R4), Muraqaba (R4), Calculated (R5), Dracarys (R5), Inference (R6), Harper’s Choice (R6), Dixie Blossoms (R7), Top Striker (R9) and Gibraltar Girl (R9)
Caulfield (Sat) - Chapel Road (R3), Toy Boy (R3), Foundry (R4), Tulip (R5), Tosen Stardom (R7) and Amelie’s Star (R7)
Doomben (Sat) - Denarius (R8)
Morphettville (Sat) - Santa Ana Lane (R7)
Seymour (Sat) - Spoils (R1)
Taree (Sun) - Admiral Jello (R7)
Gunnedah (Mon) - Crooked Blaze (R7)

Chris’ final observations and full audio preview of all Sydney races will be available after 9.30am Saturday on the R&S website and tweeted by @ScholtzRacing.


We now have Korean form

Anyone having a bet on Korean races?

Racing and Sports has all the form covered from around the world.

FULL MEDIA INFORMATION FOR KOREA AVAILABLE HERE

Busan Race Analysis 18 August

Busan Media Selections 18 August

Seoul Race Analysis 19 August

Seoul Media Selections 19 August

All the form is available right here


The Stats Report with Simon Dinopoulos

ZEROING IN

We go about finding a weekend special from a statistical angle.

Randwick Race 7 - 2
Dixie Blossoms


Talented mare from the Ron Quinton stable who remains a big watch fresh on Saturday, as she strikes a very suitable race for her return.

Although only saluting the judge once last preparation, her form was very good (barring her complete forgive in the Coolmore Classic).

She spaced her rivals in the Guy Walter Stakes and notably finished third in the Group 1 Queen Of The Turf prior to a break.

Her sole trial in the lead up was very good and she has drawn to receive all the favours for Mr. 1X1 Bowman.

Arguably should be unbeaten first up and looks to hold a class edge on her rivals, she should be very hard to beat.

Key Trends

  • Hugh Bowman is simply flying striking at 22% from his last 350 runners.

  • Dixie Blossoms has never missed the money fresh (3-1:2:0) and has only been beaten 0.3L and 0.2L at her last two fresh attempts.

  • Two of her four victories have come at Randwick and when priced between $2.00 - $6.00, she strikes at 33% (9-3W:5P) for +30.3% POT.
  • Simon Dinopoulos’ Three Tips for Sky Sports Radio

  • Race 1 - No 2 - Formality

  • Race 5 - No 1 - Trapeze Artist

  • Race 7 - No 2 - Dixie Blossoms


  • Timeform Rankings For 2016/2017

    Which Horses Were The Best Of The Last Racing Season

    The 4yos

    RankHorseTF Rating
    1Humidor125+
    Le Romain125
    3Jameka124
    Palentino124
    5English121
    Hellbent121
    Redzel121
    Scales Of Justice121
    Spieth121
    10He's Our Rokkii120
    Takedown120
    Tivaci120


    Timeform Ratings symbols and abbreviations

    An explanation of the following symbols, which are often represented beside Timeform Ratings, are below:-

    p - commonly referred to as a small 'p'; the horse is likely to improve
    P - commonly referred to as a large 'P'; the horse is capable of much better
    + - the horse may be better than rated
    ? - the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence

    {https://www.racingandsports.com.au/en/timeform/|Click here for our full Timeform Information|1}


    Feature Race Runners

    Keep up to speed on which horses are running in coming days that are entered in Feature Races

    Racing And Sports keeps punters updated on the latest racing information every day.

    One of the big attractions during carnival time, when the feature races are conducted mainly in Melbourne and Sydney, is placing a Pre-Post bet. This is a great guide.

    We are seeing the start of many Autumn campaigns now with good racing at Randwick and Caulfield.

    Follow all the entries here.

    Click here for the complete FEATURE RACE RUNNERS list


    Timeform Review: The Rosebud with Simon Dinopoulos

    Menari the Ferrari

    Boom colt Menari returned in a big way at Rosehill on Saturday stamping himself the best of his generation to date.

    An impressive winner on debut, Menari went on to finish a luckless (painful) second behind Pariah, before wet-tracks marred the remainder of his juvenile campaign.

    A game performance saw Menari finish fourth on protest (third past the post) in the Group 1 Golden Slipper, earning himself 60.5kg for his return on Saturday.

    Ridden by Josh Parr, Menari settled just worse than midfield with the Waterhouse and Bott trained Siege Of Quebec setting a decent tempo out in front.

    Pulled the widest runner on straightening, Menari loomed ominously before quickly taking over passing the 200m.

    Displaying a sharp turn of foot, Menari put the race to bed in a few strides, drawing clear to score by a length and a quarter.

    Rated 110p by Timeform following his juvenile campaign, Menari took a good step forward on Saturday returning a new career peak figure of 120p.

    Menari is comfortably the highest rated winner of the Rosebud and is now the highest rated galloper of his generation.

    Last season several of the key two-year-old races were fought on rain soaked surfaces leaving the 2YO pecking order far from clear cut.

    Group 1 winners Invader and She Will Reign held top spot rated 119, but their respective peaks came on ground that hopefully won't be commonplace this Spring.

    Last season's 2YO table looked similar to 2013/14 when Mossfun, Earthquake and Rubick shared top billing at 119 - the only time this century the top juvenile wasn't rated higher than 120.

    However judging by Menari's performance on Saturday, we can expect a completely different ballgame this Spring.

    Clearly unsuited on the heavy tracks during the Autumn, Menari isn't likely to be on his own, as we can expect more gallopers to show good improvement getting back on top of the ground.

    Click here for the full Timeform Review


    Historical Analysis of the Warwick Stakes

    WARWICK STAKES - G2 1400m

    Warwick Stks winners are a bit of a who’s who. Then again you can get the odd Pablo’s Pulses of this world at 500-1 to put a cat amongst those pigeons.

    For a variety of reasons, the Warwick Stks has been juggled between various Sydney racecourses (Warwick Farm/Randwick/Canterbury) and distances (1300/1400) over recent times.

    Let’s examine just how good some of the modern contests have been and who might join Sunline, Filante, Super Impose, Kingston Town & Tulloch on the Warwick Stks honour roll. Winx was pretty darn good too.

    Watch Pablo's Pulse record odds win

    1987 Warwick Stakes - Pablo's Pulse (500-1)

    PROFILING THE RACE

    o 10 of last 16 winners have been first up.

    o Given the quality of the horse flesh that often starts in this race, it’s hardly surprising that favourites or near favourites have a very strong record in the Warwick Stks. Except 2013.

    o Big fields have not been common in this race but still inside gates have shown up. However that’s not a big issue in those small fields.

    o There has certainly been no severe on-pace bias or pattern in the winners as many of the WFA stars have got a great turn of foot allowing them to come from midfield.

    o It’s been a race for the stronger, race savvy WFA stars. No 4yos have won recently.

    o Last 10 Years Most Prevalent Age of winner - All Ages

    o Last 10 Years Average Price of winner - $7.30

    o Breakdown of winners - 6 geldings, 2 mares & 1 colt

    o Races that the winner ran in prior - Aurie’s Star (1), Missile Stks (2), Run To The Rose (1), Ruakaka Open (1), Spell (4)

    RECENT WINNERS

    2016 - WINX 5m (Street Cry x Vegas Showgirl) ($1.30 fav)
    Jockey: Hugh Bowman, Trainer: Chris Waller
    Barrier: 4, Weight: 57.0kg, Gross Time: 1:23.83
    Margin: 3.5L, Track: Good (4), Starters: 7
    2nd: Hartnell (59.0kg), 3rd: Rebel Dane (59.0kg)

    Review: What a star!! Not much else needed to be said. The great mare was back and in a big way too. There had been some issues after the Doncaster win when she needed some small surgery but no signs existed here.

    In a small field Bowman put her in WFA top drawer A-one positioning right outside the lead. She ranged up to Rebel Dane straightening and it was over in a flash.

    He didn’t even need to go for the whip. Hartnell ran well but was no match. The Spring was set up.

    2015 - ROYAL DESCENT 6m (Redoute’s Choice x Mulan Princess) ($5.50)
    Jockey: Hugh Bowman, Trainer: Chris Waller
    Barrier: 3, Weight: 57.0kg, Gross Time: 1:21.57
    Margin: 1.5L, Track: Good (3), Starters: 13
    2nd: Pornichet (59.0kg), 3rd: Messene (59.0kg)

    Review: FINALLY ... .the mare won again. It had been 19 starts and countless G1 placings since her Oaks demolition but she was always trying so hard. Thought of mostly as a wet tracker, she was back onto the dry in this race and maybe that turned her on.

    Bowman was happy to put her into the race fresh and sat behind a good speed set by Zaratone. Sadly his stable mate Burbero broke down.

    Pornichet was first to hit the front but the mare got hold of him inside the furlong and ran away late for a top win. Many other goods runs came from in behind.

    2014 - TIGER TEES 7g (Dubawi x Parfore) ($5.50)
    Jockey: Glyn Schofield, Trainer: Joe Pride
    Barrier: 7, Weight: 59.0kg, Gross Time: 1:27.73
    Margin: 1.3L, Track: Heavy (9), Starters: 7
    2nd: Royal Descent (57.0kg), 3rd: Criterion (58.5kg)

    Review: There are not too many better mudlarks than Tiger Tees and had he shown he was a strong 1400m horse in the past, there was no way he was starting at 9-2. Pride had taken him to Melbourne for a first up kill but found a dry track yet he still won.

    Here Schofield took him to the front again but raced off the fence. He only crossed over around halfway but was never hard on the rail and was unpressured.

    When all the staying types made their runs he gave a kick and held the margin on the line on a big day for his trainer who trained half the card.


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